Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.48 – 318.66

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

149 – 380

Prediction correct · off by 68.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187 ±12.2

10366Builder Bears

Season APEX 25.7Event APEX -2.03Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

25Raider Robotix

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 44.17Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4361Roxbotix

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 31.34Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 444.8 ±11.2

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 216.18Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5438Technological Terrors

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 79.67Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6860Equitum Robotics

Season APEX 44.8Event APEX 22.81Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10366, 25, 4361

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10366, 25, 4361

Auto

10.8 14%

Teleop

41.7 56%

Endgame

22.2 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5895, 5438, 6860

/ 100 compat

Projected

318.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5895, 5438, 6860

Auto

68.3 22%

Teleop

183.3 58%

Endgame

61.9 20%

Strengths

· 5895 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score73.5pts

Blue projected score318.7pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -245.2
Score range: 46–346
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 529 vs event baseline 150.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187Season APEX444.8

10.8Auto68.3

41.7Teleop183.3

22.2Endgame61.9

98Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	63
teleop	81	215
endgame	50	102
foul	0	0
total	149	380

Result

Final score

149 – 380

Prediction correct · off by 68.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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