Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

141.41 – 71.79

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

152 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 17.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231.9 ±12.8

7045MCCrusaders

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 95.63Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8714Robo Griffins'

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 4.01Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10232Killer Kardinals 2

Season APEX 73.8Event APEX 41.77Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 129.9 ±12.7

4750Bert

Season APEX 37.8Event APEX 10.33Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5407Wolfpack Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 56.48Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9424E.O. JAG BOTS

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 4.98Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7045, 8714, 10232

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7045, 8714, 10232

Auto

22.0 16%

Teleop

83.9 61%

Endgame

31.7 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4750, 5407, 9424

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4750, 5407, 9424

Auto

26.2 40%

Teleop

21.5 32%

Endgame

18.6 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score141.4pts

Blue projected score71.8pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 69.6
Score range: 42–171
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 199 vs event baseline 165.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231.9Season APEX129.9

22Auto26.2

83.9Teleop21.5

31.7Endgame18.6

56Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	21
teleop	90	14
endgame	36	12
foul	0	0
total	152	47

Result

Final score

152 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 17.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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