Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

113.03 – 300.5

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

225 – 334

Prediction correct · off by 72.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.8 ±12.2

5438Technological Terrors

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 70.63Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3340Union City EagleX Robotics

Season APEX 45.1Event APEX -6.48Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

102The Gearheads

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 48.88Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 500.9 ±10.5

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 215.37Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4573Rambotics

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 32.31Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

303The T.E.S.T. Team

Season APEX 178.5Event APEX 52.82Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5438, 3340, 102

/ 100 compat

Projected

113 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5438, 3340, 102

Auto

29.6 26%

Teleop

51.8 45%

Endgame

33.1 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5895, 4573, 303

/ 100 compat

Projected

300.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5895, 4573, 303

Auto

77.6 26%

Teleop

168.3 56%

Endgame

55.7 18%

Strengths

· 5895 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.87 · Blue 2.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score113pts

Blue projected score300.5pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -187.5
Score range: 86–328
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 559 vs event baseline 148.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

250.8Season APEX500.9

29.6Auto77.6

51.8Teleop168.3

33.1Endgame55.7

58Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	77
teleop	125	196
endgame	68	61
foul	0	0
total	225	334

Result

Final score

225 – 334

Prediction correct · off by 72.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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