Qualification · Qualification 56
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
90.69 – 73.36
55%45%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
19 – 67
Prediction missed · off by 39 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 156.6 ±15.3
Season APEX 37.8Event APEX 18.19Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 45Event APEX 34.92Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 73.8Event APEX 37.58Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 144.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 46.58Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 25.7Event APEX -0.56Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 64Event APEX 27.34Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4750, 9439, 10232
46
/ 100 compatProjected
90.7 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4750, 9439, 10232
Auto
16.8 19%
Teleop
46.0 53%
Endgame
24.3 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 428, 10366, 2458
35
/ 100 compatProjected
73.4 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 428, 10366, 2458
Auto
23.1 34%
Teleop
17.1 25%
Endgame
28.6 42%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.5
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score90.7pts
Blue projected score73.4pts
Red win probability55%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 17.3
- Score range
- 46–118
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
156.6Season APEX144.9
16.8Auto23.1
46Teleop17.1
24.3Endgame28.6
34Consistency51
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 16 |
| teleop | 7 | 23 |
| endgame | 0 | 23 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 19 | 67 |
Result
Final score
19 – 67
Prediction missed · off by 39 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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