Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

83.55 – 104.74

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 22.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.4 ±12.8

9424E.O. JAG BOTS

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 9.33Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3340Union City EagleX Robotics

Season APEX 45.1Event APEX -7.11Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

75RoboRaiders

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 81.33Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 335.4 ±11.7

303The T.E.S.T. Team

Season APEX 178.5Event APEX 52.86Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8588Tech Devils

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 6.9Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

56R.O.B.B.E.

Season APEX 107Event APEX 44.98Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9424, 3340, 75

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9424, 3340, 75

Auto

15.1 19%

Teleop

44.3 56%

Endgame

19.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 303, 8588, 56

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 303, 8588, 56

Auto

27.8 28%

Teleop

50.6 51%

Endgame

21.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.6pts

Blue projected score104.7pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.2
Score range: 57–132
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 144 vs event baseline 150.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

207.4Season APEX335.4

15.1Auto27.8

44.3Teleop50.6

19.8Endgame21.5

11Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	21
teleop	8	41
endgame	26	20
foul	0	5
total	57	87

Result

Final score

57 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 22.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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