Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.58 – 147.11

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 15.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 150.2 ±12.7

8588Tech Devils

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 3.94Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2191Flux Core

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 37.04Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4750Bert

Season APEX 37.8Event APEX 21.6Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 340.6 ±11.7

6860Equitum Robotics

Season APEX 44.8Event APEX 17.82Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

303The T.E.S.T. Team

Season APEX 178.5Event APEX 46.22Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7045MCCrusaders

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 83.07Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8588, 2191, 4750

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8588, 2191, 4750

Auto

11.5 19%

Teleop

32.2 53%

Endgame

16.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6860, 303, 7045

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6860, 303, 7045

Auto

23.6 17%

Teleop

91.0 64%

Endgame

27.2 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.99 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62.6pts

Blue projected score147.1pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -84.5
Score range: 37–173
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 241 vs event baseline 146.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

150.2Season APEX340.6

11.5Auto23.6

32.2Teleop91

16.6Endgame27.2

1Consistency112

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	31
teleop	16	91
endgame	12	53
foul	15	0
total	66	175

Result

Final score

66 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 15.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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