Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

148.22 – 222.06

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

175 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 19.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 440.4 ±10.5

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 42.17Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

75RoboRaiders

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 54.53Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

102The Gearheads

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 51.52Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 464.7 ±10.5

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 134.8Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

428BoroBlasters

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 26.89Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

25Raider Robotix

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 60.37Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3637, 75, 102

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3637, 75, 102

Auto

33.3 22%

Teleop

83.8 57%

Endgame

31.0 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 484, 428, 25

/ 100 compat

Projected

222.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 484, 428, 25

Auto

27.3 12%

Teleop

130.5 59%

Endgame

64.7 29%

Strengths

· 484 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score148.2pts

Blue projected score222.1pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -73.8
Score range: 122–248
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 410 vs event baseline 144.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

440.4Season APEX464.7

33.3Auto27.3

83.8Teleop130.5

31Endgame64.7

89Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	30
teleop	82	111
endgame	63	94
foul	0	0
total	175	235

Result

Final score

175 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 19.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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