Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

232.61 – 70.42

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

344 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 76.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 422.1 ±10.5

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 189.46Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4750Bert

Season APEX 37.8Event APEX 3.83Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

25Raider Robotix

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 39.32Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 119.5 ±15.8

9439Knights of Polaris

Season APEX 45Event APEX 37.42Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9424E.O. JAG BOTS

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 21.62Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6897Astraea Robotics

Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 11.38Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5895, 4750, 25

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5895, 4750, 25

Auto

68.0 30%

Teleop

111.8 49%

Endgame

50.5 22%

Strengths

· 5895 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9439, 9424, 6897

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9439, 9424, 6897

Auto

16.5 24%

Teleop

40.5 58%

Endgame

12.8 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score232.6pts

Blue projected score70.4pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 162.2
Score range: 44–259
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 373 vs event baseline 146.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

422.1Season APEX119.5

68Auto16.5

111.8Teleop40.5

50.5Endgame12.8

152Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	15
teleop	207	9
endgame	67	5
foul	0	0
total	344	29

Result

Final score

344 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 76.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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