Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

295.67 – 102.45

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

332 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 592.7 ±9.9

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 187.36Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 87.85Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2191Flux Core

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 20.46Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 365.2 ±10.7

8714Robo Griffins'

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 15.02Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 46.15Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

433Firebirds

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 41.28Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5895, 1403, 2191

/ 100 compat

Projected

295.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5895, 1403, 2191

Auto

77.5 27%

Teleop

145.2 50%

Endgame

69.0 24%

Strengths

· 5895 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8714, 3637, 433

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8714, 3637, 433

Auto

29.5 28%

Teleop

67.5 64%

Endgame

8.3 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score295.7pts

Blue projected score102.5pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 193.2
Score range: 76–322
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 464 vs event baseline 142.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

592.7Season APEX365.2

77.5Auto29.5

145.2Teleop67.5

69Endgame8.3

175Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	13
teleop	213	76
endgame	59	43
foul	0	0
total	332	132

Result

Final score

332 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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