Qualification · Qualification 24
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
76.69 – 137.06
32%68%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
116 – 108
Prediction missed · off by 34.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 144.5 ±12.7
Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 26.88Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 20.07Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 29.74Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.4 ±14.9
Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 70.18Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45Event APEX 43.95Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 22.93Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2495, 9424, 428
42
/ 100 compatProjected
76.7 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 2495, 9424, 428
Auto
20.6 25%
Teleop
29.8 37%
Endgame
30.4 38%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5438, 9439, 8588
60
/ 100 compatProjected
137.1 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 5438, 9439, 8588
Auto
23.9 18%
Teleop
78.1 59%
Endgame
29.7 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score76.7pts
Blue projected score137.1pts
Red win probability32%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -60.4
- Score range
- 52–162
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
144.5Season APEX230.4
20.6Auto23.9
29.8Teleop78.1
30.4Endgame29.7
42Consistency3
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 23 |
| teleop | 54 | 54 |
| endgame | 29 | 31 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 116 | 108 |
Result
Final score
116 – 108
Prediction missed · off by 34.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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