Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.16 – 140.72

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

62 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 242 ±12.2

10366Builder Bears

Season APEX 25.7Event APEX 13.38Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

303The T.E.S.T. Team

Season APEX 178.5Event APEX 15.77Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4750Bert

Season APEX 37.8Event APEX 10.01Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 452.3 ±10.5

75RoboRaiders

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 54.54Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 73.52Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4573Rambotics

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 12.66Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10366, 303, 4750

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10366, 303, 4750

Auto

8.2 19%

Teleop

19.7 47%

Endgame

14.2 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 75, 1403, 4573

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 75, 1403, 4573

Auto

27.7 21%

Teleop

75.8 57%

Endgame

29.0 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score39.2pts

Blue projected score140.7pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -101.6
Score range: 14–166
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 242 vs event baseline 140.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

242Season APEX452.3

8.2Auto27.7

19.7Teleop75.8

14.2Endgame29

107Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	36
teleop	13	93
endgame	31	36
foul	0	15
total	62	180

Result

Final score

62 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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