Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

164.58 – 256.41

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

175 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 13.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.9 ±12.2

8130Absegami Robotics

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 56.69Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2191Flux Core

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 28.67Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7045MCCrusaders

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 79.22Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 441.7 ±10.5

56R.O.B.B.E.

Season APEX 107Event APEX 33.5Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

102The Gearheads

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 43.45Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 179.46Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8130, 2191, 7045

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8130, 2191, 7045

Auto

28.3 19%

Teleop

93.6 62%

Endgame

29.5 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 56, 102, 5895

/ 100 compat

Projected

256.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 56, 102, 5895

Auto

73.8 29%

Teleop

109.5 43%

Endgame

74.2 29%

Strengths

· 5895 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score164.6pts

Blue projected score256.4pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -91.8
Score range: 140–281
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 448 vs event baseline 136.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

214.9Season APEX441.7

28.3Auto73.8

93.6Teleop109.5

29.5Endgame74.2

185Consistency112

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	80
teleop	107	127
endgame	49	66
foul	0	0
total	175	273

Result

Final score

175 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 13.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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