Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

141.15 – 103.55

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

53 – 185

Prediction missed · off by 84.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 145.9 ±13.3

8588Tech Devils

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 50.8Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8714Robo Griffins'

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 41.44Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

428BoroBlasters

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 48.91Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 332.6 ±11.7

4573Rambotics

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX -1.74Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9424E.O. JAG BOTS

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 15.97Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3314Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 241.1Event APEX 89.32Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8588, 8714, 428

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8588, 8714, 428

Auto

35.6 24%

Teleop

59.7 41%

Endgame

50.9 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4573, 9424, 3314

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4573, 9424, 3314

Auto

30.1 30%

Teleop

51.0 51%

Endgame

19.8 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score141.1pts

Blue projected score103.6pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.6
Score range: 80–165
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 238 vs event baseline 134.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

145.9Season APEX332.6

35.6Auto30.1

59.7Teleop51

50.9Endgame19.8

17Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	39
teleop	15	106
endgame	18	40
foul	0	0
total	53	185

Result

Final score

53 – 185

Prediction missed · off by 84.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.