Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

209.75 – 117.11

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

287 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 50.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 397.3 ±10.7

433Firebirds

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 37.04Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 125.09Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8588Tech Devils

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 47.62Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 258 ±12.2

2458Team Chaos

Season APEX 64Event APEX -1.16Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5407Wolfpack Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 22.49Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5438Technological Terrors

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 95.78Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 433, 5895, 8588

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 433, 5895, 8588

Auto

40.0 19%

Teleop

103.3 50%

Endgame

62.6 30%

Strengths

· 5895 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2458, 5407, 5438

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2458, 5407, 5438

Auto

35.6 33%

Teleop

62.7 57%

Endgame

10.8 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score209.8pts

Blue projected score117.1pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.6
Score range: 94–233
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 427 vs event baseline 129.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

397.3Season APEX258

40Auto35.6

103.3Teleop62.7

62.6Endgame10.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	27
teleop	135	67
endgame	74	41
foul	0	5
total	287	140

Result

Final score

287 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 50.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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