Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

207.99 – 278.27

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

136 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 61.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 345.1 ±11.1

2191Flux Core

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 40.55Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4361Roxbotix

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 36.72Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3314Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 241.1Event APEX 130.72Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 364.8 ±11.7

428BoroBlasters

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 40.27Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 234.28Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3340Union City EagleX Robotics

Season APEX 45.1Event APEX 3.72Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2191, 4361, 3314

/ 100 compat

Projected

208 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2191, 4361, 3314

Auto

31.5 16%

Teleop

111.6 58%

Endgame

48.0 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 428, 5895, 3340

/ 100 compat

Projected

278.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 428, 5895, 3340

Auto

72.0 26%

Teleop

145.8 52%

Endgame

60.3 22%

Strengths

· 5895 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score208pts

Blue projected score278.3pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -70.3
Score range: 178–308
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 364 vs event baseline 165.7.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

345.1Season APEX364.8

31.5Auto72

111.6Teleop145.8

48Endgame60.3

81Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	68
teleop	81	99
endgame	35	61
foul	0	0
total	136	228

Result

Final score

136 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 61.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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