Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
410.77 – 176.44
95%5%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
424 – 129
Prediction correct · off by 30.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 637.1 ±8.7
Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 149.66Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 31.07Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 230.04Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 344.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 58.92Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 91.48Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 44.8Event APEX 26.04Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 484, 433, 5895
82
/ 100 compatProjected
410.8 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 484, 433, 5895
Auto
85.0 21%
Teleop
227.2 55%
Endgame
98.8 24%
Strengths
- · 5895 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5407, 3637, 6860
63
/ 100 compatProjected
176.4 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5407, 3637, 6860
Auto
29.2 18%
Teleop
101.1 62%
Endgame
33.3 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score410.8pts
Blue projected score176.4pts
Red win probability95%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 234.3
- Score range
- 147–440
- Upset likelihood
- 5%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
637.1Season APEX344.8
85Auto29.2
227.2Teleop101.1
98.8Endgame33.3
21Consistency4
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 79 | 37 |
| teleop | 303 | 35 |
| endgame | 42 | 57 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 424 | 129 |
Result
Final score
424 – 129
Prediction correct · off by 30.3 pts
Match videos
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