Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
138.62 – 94.3
63%37%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
211 – 91
Prediction correct · off by 37.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 342.5 ±9.8
Season APEX 231.6Event APEX 76.02Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 32.38Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 30.22Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 260.3 ±11
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 33.01Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 26.89Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 107Event APEX 34.4Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2590, 9015, 7110
81
/ 100 compatProjected
138.6 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 2590, 9015, 7110
Auto
26.9 20%
Teleop
75.4 55%
Endgame
34.4 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1672, 9100, 56
62
/ 100 compatProjected
94.3 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 1672, 9100, 56
Auto
16.3 19%
Teleop
38.0 45%
Endgame
30.4 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.57 · Blue 1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score138.6pts
Blue projected score94.3pts
Red win probability63%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 23%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 44.3
- Score range
- 77–156
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
342.5Season APEX260.3
26.9Auto16.3
75.4Teleop38
34.4Endgame30.4
0Consistency48
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 70 | 19 |
| teleop | 116 | 51 |
| endgame | 25 | 16 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 211 | 91 |
Result
Final score
211 – 91
Prediction correct · off by 37.8 pts
Match videos
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