Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
85.67 – 70.44
55%45%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
33 – 114
Prediction missed · off by 48.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 140.5 ±12.7
Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 46.06Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 28.26Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 32.7Event APEX 11.35Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 316.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 17.09Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 31.75Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 21.6Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8588, 4573, 4653
56
/ 100 compatProjected
85.7 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8588, 4573, 4653
Auto
23.1 37%
Teleop
25.3 41%
Endgame
13.8 22%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 22%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 87, 25, 5438
57
/ 100 compatProjected
70.4 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 87, 25, 5438
Auto
17.6 23%
Teleop
39.2 52%
Endgame
18.9 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 22%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.11
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score85.7pts
Blue projected score70.4pts
Red win probability55%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 22%, blue 16%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 15.2
- Score range
- 53–103
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
140.5Season APEX316.5
23.1Auto17.6
25.3Teleop39.2
13.8Endgame18.9
56Consistency63
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 19 |
| teleop | 9 | 61 |
| endgame | 5 | 34 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 33 | 114 |
Result
Final score
33 – 114
Prediction missed · off by 48.1 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.