Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
91.53 – 66.77
58%42%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
107 – 101
Prediction correct · off by 24.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 159.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 47.49Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 29.11Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 14.93Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 316.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 15.41Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 30.52Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 20.84Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5113, 1647, 2191
64
/ 100 compatProjected
91.5 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5113, 1647, 2191
Auto
22.3 24%
Teleop
51.0 55%
Endgame
20.0 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 87, 25, 5438
55
/ 100 compatProjected
66.8 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 87, 25, 5438
Auto
16.1 22%
Teleop
37.9 52%
Endgame
18.8 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.05
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score91.5pts
Blue projected score66.8pts
Red win probability58%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 16%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 24.8
- Score range
- 50–109
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
159.6Season APEX316.5
22.3Auto16.1
51Teleop37.9
20Endgame18.8
35Consistency58
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 23 |
| teleop | 63 | 56 |
| endgame | 18 | 22 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 107 | 101 |
Result
Final score
107 – 101
Prediction correct · off by 24.9 pts
Match videos
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