Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

144.9 – 101.19

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

190 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 30 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 342.5 ±9.8

2590Nemesis

Season APEX 231.6Event APEX 78.75Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 33.58Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7110Heights Bytes

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 32.57Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 260.3 ±11

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 34.59Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9100Robo Roses

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 29.15Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

56R.O.B.B.E.

Season APEX 107Event APEX 37.45Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2590, 9015, 7110

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2590, 9015, 7110

Auto

36.9 26%

Teleop

76.3 53%

Endgame

30.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1672, 9100, 56

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1672, 9100, 56

Auto

15.1 17%

Teleop

43.3 49%

Endgame

30.5 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.57 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score144.9pts

Blue projected score101.2pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 43.7
Score range: 84–162
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 306 vs event baseline 97.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

342.5Season APEX260.3

36.9Auto15.1

76.3Teleop43.3

30.6Endgame30.5

0Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	19
teleop	104	39
endgame	38	43
foul	5	15
total	190	116

Result

Final score

190 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 30 pts

Match videos

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