Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

215.58 – 148.87

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

141 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 53.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 455.2 ±9.8

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 105.09Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

486Positronic Panthers

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 32.86Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 77.63Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 342.5 ±9.8

2590Nemesis

Season APEX 231.6Event APEX 79.95Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 35.2Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7110Heights Bytes

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 33.72Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1403, 486, 1923

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1403, 486, 1923

Auto

41.1 19%

Teleop

125.4 58%

Endgame

51.5 24%

Strengths

· 1403 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2590, 9015, 7110

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2590, 9015, 7110

Auto

33.5 23%

Teleop

81.2 55%

Endgame

33.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score215.6pts

Blue projected score148.9pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.7
Score range: 132–233
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 257 vs event baseline 96.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

455.2Season APEX342.5

41.1Auto33.5

125.4Teleop81.2

51.5Endgame33.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	59
teleop	55	42
endgame	32	15
foul	5	0
total	141	116

Result

Final score

141 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 53.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.