Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

52.07 – 136.28

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 33.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 120.3 ±12.2

5684Titans of Tech

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX 21.13Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5624TIGER TECH Robotics

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 4.55Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5113Combustible Lemons

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 26.39Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 316.4 ±11.7

4573Rambotics

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 29.24Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2590Nemesis

Season APEX 231.6Event APEX 77.23Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

752Chargers

Season APEX 26.9Event APEX 29.81Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5684, 5624, 5113

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5684, 5624, 5113

Auto

11.3 22%

Teleop

24.5 49%

Endgame

14.7 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4573, 2590, 752

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4573, 2590, 752

Auto

24.4 18%

Teleop

79.9 59%

Endgame

30.5 23%

Strengths

· 2590 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.7 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score52.1pts

Blue projected score136.3pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -84.2
Score range: 37–151
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 149 vs event baseline 85.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

120.3Season APEX316.4

11.3Auto24.4

24.5Teleop79.9

14.7Endgame30.5

68Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	17
teleop	36	41
endgame	8	25
foul	0	0
total	66	83

Result

Final score

66 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 33.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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