Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

34.38 – 86.46

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

38 – 14

Prediction missed · off by 38 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 283.4 ±11.7

6897Astraea Robotics

Season APEX 40.9Event APEX -15.51Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5438Technological Terrors

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 23.96Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

56R.O.B.B.E.

Season APEX 107Event APEX 25.93Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 158.9 ±12.8

8075CyberTigers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 23.96Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1647Iron Devils

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 44.86Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2180Zero Gravity

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 17.64Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6897, 5438, 56

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6897, 5438, 56

Auto

18.1 52%

Teleop

11.0 32%

Endgame

5.7 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8075, 1647, 2180

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8075, 1647, 2180

Auto

16.0 19%

Teleop

45.2 54%

Endgame

22.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score34.4pts

Blue projected score86.5pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -52.1
Score range: 20–100
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 52 vs event baseline 75.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

283.4Season APEX158.9

18.1Auto16

11Teleop45.2

5.7Endgame22.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	12
teleop	12	2
endgame	9	0
foul	0	0
total	38	14

Result

Final score

38 – 14

Prediction missed · off by 38 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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