Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

46.86 – 18.15

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

154 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 77 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 343.5 ±11.7

3340Union City EagleX Robotics

Season APEX 45.1Event APEX 3.71Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4653Ironmen Robotics

Season APEX 32.7Event APEX 6.86Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 36.29Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.8 ±11

7110Heights Bytes

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 3.71Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

486Positronic Panthers

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 12.32Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9100Robo Roses

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 2.12Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3340, 4653, 1403

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3340, 4653, 1403

Auto

14.6 31%

Teleop

20.9 45%

Endgame

11.4 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7110, 486, 9100

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7110, 486, 9100

Auto

7.5 38%

Teleop

4.8 24%

Endgame

7.7 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score46.9pts

Blue projected score18.2pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 28.7
Score range: 5–60
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 219 vs event baseline 69.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

343.5Season APEX208.8

14.6Auto7.5

20.9Teleop4.8

11.4Endgame7.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	16
teleop	104	18
endgame	24	31
foul	0	0
total	154	65

Result

Final score

154 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 77 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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