Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.46 – 134.66

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 22.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 155 ±13.3

204Eastern Robotic Vikings

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 17.28Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2191Flux Core

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 13.31Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

87Diablo

Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 20.87Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283.9 ±11

25Raider Robotix

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 36.05Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 73.4Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2495Hive Mind

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 25.21Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 204, 2191, 87

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 204, 2191, 87

Auto

18.9 38%

Teleop

21.5 43%

Endgame

9.6 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 25, 1923, 2495

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 25, 1923, 2495

Auto

30.9 23%

Teleop

74.8 55%

Endgame

31.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score51.5pts

Blue projected score134.7pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -83.2
Score range: 33–153
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 141 vs event baseline 99.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

155Season APEX283.9

18.9Auto30.9

21.5Teleop74.8

9.6Endgame31.5

102Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	18
teleop	10	55
endgame	10	20
foul	15	0
total	48	93

Result

Final score

48 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 22.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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