Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

77.24 – 70.42

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 96

Prediction missed · off by 13.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 289.4 ±10.4

303The T.E.S.T. Team

Season APEX 178.5Event APEX 25.8Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7110Heights Bytes

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 24.87Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 26.57Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 139.7 ±12.2

1647Iron Devils

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 27.24Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

486Positronic Panthers

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 22.75Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5684Titans of Tech

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX 20.43Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 303, 7110, 9015

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 303, 7110, 9015

Auto

32.4 37%

Teleop

43.8 50%

Endgame

11.9 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1647, 486, 5684

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1647, 486, 5684

Auto

14.6 19%

Teleop

38.6 51%

Endgame

22.3 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score77.2pts

Blue projected score70.4pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6.8
Score range: 54–93
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 171 vs event baseline 90.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

289.4Season APEX139.7

32.4Auto14.6

43.8Teleop38.6

11.9Endgame22.3

38Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	24
teleop	32	37
endgame	29	35
foul	0	0
total	75	96

Result

Final score

75 – 96

Prediction missed · off by 13.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.