Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.63 – 238.25

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.3 ±12.8

5624TIGER TECH Robotics

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 24.82Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

25Raider Robotix

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 30.29Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6897Astraea Robotics

Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 12.52Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 424 ±11.2

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 105.97Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8588Tech Devils

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 55.55Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 76.73Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5624, 25, 6897

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.6 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5624, 25, 6897

Auto

15.3 33%

Teleop

18.6 40%

Endgame

12.2 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1403, 8588, 1923

/ 100 compat

Projected

238.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1403, 8588, 1923

Auto

42.3 21%

Teleop

118.0 57%

Endgame

45.7 22%

Strengths

· 1403 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.37 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.6pts

Blue projected score238.3pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -170.6
Score range: 52–254
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 241 vs event baseline 90.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

194.3Season APEX424

15.3Auto42.3

18.6Teleop118

12.2Endgame45.7

0Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	39
teleop	21	100
endgame	29	36
foul	0	0
total	66	175

Result

Final score

66 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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