Qualification · Qualification 55
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
77.58 – 62.26
55%45%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
69 – 97
Prediction missed · off by 21.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 155 ±12.8
Season APEX 26.9Event APEX 24.59Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 32.46Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 20.53Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 243.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 124.2Event APEX 19.29Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 12.83Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 30.14Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 752, 8075, 204
54
/ 100 compatProjected
77.6 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 752, 8075, 204
Auto
15.4 33%
Teleop
18.8 40%
Endgame
12.9 27%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 293, 87, 4573
50
/ 100 compatProjected
62.3 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 293, 87, 4573
Auto
23.7 41%
Teleop
24.1 42%
Endgame
10.1 17%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score77.6pts
Blue projected score62.3pts
Red win probability55%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 14%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 15.3
- Score range
- 46–94
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
155Season APEX243.3
15.4Auto23.7
18.8Teleop24.1
12.9Endgame10.1
36Consistency108
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 24 |
| teleop | 25 | 58 |
| endgame | 30 | 15 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 69 | 97 |
Result
Final score
69 – 97
Prediction missed · off by 21.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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