Qualification · Qualification 52
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
52.4 – 109.7
33%67%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
72 – 80
Prediction correct · off by 24.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 192 ±12.8
Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 12.21Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 26.9Event APEX 22.47Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 124.2Event APEX 17.72Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 23.48Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 57.59Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 28.63Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6897, 752, 293
45
/ 100 compatProjected
52.4 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6897, 752, 293
Auto
16.4 34%
Teleop
22.4 47%
Endgame
9.0 19%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 16%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5438, 8588, 9015
70
/ 100 compatProjected
109.7 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5438, 8588, 9015
Auto
26.1 33%
Teleop
39.1 50%
Endgame
13.7 17%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 16%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.86 · Blue 1.62
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score52.4pts
Blue projected score109.7pts
Red win probability33%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 16%, blue 24%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -57.3
- Score range
- 36–126
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
192Season APEX244.8
16.4Auto26.1
22.4Teleop39.1
9Endgame13.7
43Consistency34
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 17 |
| teleop | 26 | 37 |
| endgame | 25 | 26 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 72 | 80 |
Result
Final score
72 – 80
Prediction correct · off by 24.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.