Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.89 – 196.92

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

91 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 63 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 144.5 ±12.1

4573Rambotics

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 26.27Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5684Titans of Tech

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX 17.05Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2191Flux Core

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 8.57Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 391.5 ±9.8

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 84.69Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7110Heights Bytes

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 32.87Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2590Nemesis

Season APEX 231.6Event APEX 79.36Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4573, 5684, 2191

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.9 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4573, 5684, 2191

Auto

21.6 37%

Teleop

22.4 38%

Endgame

14.7 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1923, 7110, 2590

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1923, 7110, 2590

Auto

39.3 20%

Teleop

121.2 60%

Endgame

40.5 20%

Strengths

· 1923 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score51.9pts

Blue projected score196.9pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -145
Score range: 36–213
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 201 vs event baseline 89.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

144.5Season APEX391.5

21.6Auto39.3

22.4Teleop121.2

14.7Endgame40.5

46Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	46
teleop	27	52
endgame	21	12
foul	20	0
total	91	110

Result

Final score

91 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 63 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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