Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

37.78 – 65.9

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

40 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 165 ±13.3

87Diablo

Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 15.81Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9100Robo Roses

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 25.99Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2180Zero Gravity

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX -4.02Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 215.4 ±11.7

56R.O.B.B.E.

Season APEX 107Event APEX 28.62Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

204Eastern Robotic Vikings

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 14.74Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 22.54Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 87, 9100, 2180

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 87, 9100, 2180

Auto

13.0 31%

Teleop

18.0 43%

Endgame

11.3 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 56, 204, 1672

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 56, 204, 1672

Auto

19.7 31%

Teleop

18.3 29%

Endgame

24.9 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score37.8pts

Blue projected score65.9pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28.1
Score range: 22–82
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 156 vs event baseline 89.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

165Season APEX215.4

13Auto19.7

18Teleop18.3

11.3Endgame24.9

69Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	18
teleop	10	69
endgame	15	29
foul	0	0
total	40	116

Result

Final score

40 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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