Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

44.77 – 63.75

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

304 – 23

Prediction missed · off by 150 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 180.3 ±12.8

8588Tech Devils

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 31.32Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5624TIGER TECH Robotics

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 4.9Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8075CyberTigers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 8.55Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 304.7 ±11.7

486Positronic Panthers

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 22.54Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

303The T.E.S.T. Team

Season APEX 178.5Event APEX 34.93Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3340Union City EagleX Robotics

Season APEX 45.1Event APEX 6.28Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8588, 5624, 8075

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8588, 5624, 8075

Auto

16.7 47%

Teleop

10.1 28%

Endgame

8.7 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 486, 303, 3340

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 486, 303, 3340

Auto

23.9 35%

Teleop

29.1 43%

Endgame

15.1 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44.8pts

Blue projected score63.8pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19
Score range: 29–80
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 327 vs event baseline 88.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

180.3Season APEX304.7

16.7Auto23.9

10.1Teleop29.1

8.7Endgame15.1

52Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	8
teleop	10	4
endgame	1	11
foul	275	0
total	304	23

Result

Final score

304 – 23

Prediction missed · off by 150 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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