Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

11.35 – 118.54

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

18 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 106.3 ±13.9

5624TIGER TECH Robotics

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 3.64Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2180Zero Gravity

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX -1.98Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3340Union City EagleX Robotics

Season APEX 45.1Event APEX 9.69Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.9 ±11.7

5113Combustible Lemons

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 37.23Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 78.61Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6897Astraea Robotics

Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 2.7Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5624, 2180, 3340

/ 100 compat

Projected

11.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5624, 2180, 3340

Auto

15.4 85%

Teleop

2.0 11%

Endgame

0.7 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5113, 1923, 6897

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5113, 1923, 6897

Auto

23.6 21%

Teleop

68.8 61%

Endgame

21.3 19%

Strengths

· 1923 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.58 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score11.4pts

Blue projected score118.5pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107.2
Score range: -5–135
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 215 vs event baseline 86.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

106.3Season APEX211.9

15.4Auto23.6

2Teleop68.8

0.7Endgame21.3

60Consistency89

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	45
teleop	8	103
endgame	1	49
foul	0	0
total	18	197

Result

Final score

18 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.