Qualification · Qualification 43
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
75.4 – 90.4
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
116 – 71
Prediction missed · off by 30 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.2 ±11
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 30.51Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 23.69Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 21.2Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 159.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 32.7Event APEX 23.56Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 34.29Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 32.55Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7110, 25, 4573
57
/ 100 compatProjected
75.4 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7110, 25, 4573
Auto
21.4 29%
Teleop
29.1 40%
Endgame
22.8 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4653, 1672, 8588
65
/ 100 compatProjected
90.4 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4653, 1672, 8588
Auto
19.2 24%
Teleop
44.8 55%
Endgame
16.9 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score75.4pts
Blue projected score90.4pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 18%, blue 23%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -15
- Score range
- 60–105
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
229.2Season APEX159.7
21.4Auto19.2
29.1Teleop44.8
22.8Endgame16.9
75Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 18 |
| teleop | 58 | 18 |
| endgame | 33 | 20 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 116 | 71 |
Result
Final score
116 – 71
Prediction missed · off by 30 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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