Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.62 – 48.59

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

108 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 320 ±11.7

1647Iron Devils

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 25.46Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

303The T.E.S.T. Team

Season APEX 178.5Event APEX 40.5Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

56R.O.B.B.E.

Season APEX 107Event APEX 36.66Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 103.3 ±13.9

752Chargers

Season APEX 26.9Event APEX 23.61Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3340Union City EagleX Robotics

Season APEX 45.1Event APEX 11.09Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

204Eastern Robotic Vikings

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 13.89Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1647, 303, 56

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1647, 303, 56

Auto

32.7 32%

Teleop

51.7 50%

Endgame

19.4 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 752, 3340, 204

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 752, 3340, 204

Auto

12.1 28%

Teleop

18.5 43%

Endgame

12.1 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score102.6pts

Blue projected score48.6pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54
Score range: 34–118
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 154 vs event baseline 85.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

320Season APEX103.3

32.7Auto12.1

51.7Teleop18.5

19.4Endgame12.1

14Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	25
teleop	57	8
endgame	20	13
foul	0	0
total	108	46

Result

Final score

108 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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