Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.35 – 120.86

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

146 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 43.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 235.6 ±10.4

7110Heights Bytes

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 27.88Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

56R.O.B.B.E.

Season APEX 107Event APEX 29.53Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 27.94Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 366 ±11.2

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 21.93Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6897Astraea Robotics

Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 2.18Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 96.75Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7110, 56, 1672

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7110, 56, 1672

Auto

24.2 30%

Teleop

30.4 37%

Endgame

26.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9015, 6897, 1403

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9015, 6897, 1403

Auto

26.0 22%

Teleop

63.6 54%

Endgame

27.7 24%

Strengths

· 1403 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.4pts

Blue projected score120.9pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -35.5
Score range: 70–136
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 294 vs event baseline 84.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

235.6Season APEX366

24.2Auto26

30.4Teleop63.6

26.9Endgame27.7

12Consistency109

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	28
teleop	72	84
endgame	50	31
foul	0	5
total	146	148

Result

Final score

146 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 43.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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