Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

91.84 – 74.45

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

141 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 31.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.9 ±12.8

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 76.4Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2180Zero Gravity

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX -6.9Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

752Chargers

Season APEX 26.9Event APEX 22.34Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 329.6 ±11.7

303The T.E.S.T. Team

Season APEX 178.5Event APEX 35.91Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

25Raider Robotix

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 23.97Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

204Eastern Robotic Vikings

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 14.57Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1923, 2180, 752

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1923, 2180, 752

Auto

19.5 20%

Teleop

55.4 57%

Endgame

22.1 23%

Strengths

· 1923 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 303, 25, 204

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 303, 25, 204

Auto

28.0 37%

Teleop

36.5 49%

Endgame

10.7 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score91.8pts

Blue projected score74.4pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 17.4
Score range: 59–107
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 230 vs event baseline 83.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162.9Season APEX329.6

19.5Auto28

55.4Teleop36.5

22.1Endgame10.7

74Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	15
teleop	87	40
endgame	30	29
foul	0	5
total	141	89

Result

Final score

141 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 31.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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