Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

87.08 – 41.1

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 93

Prediction missed · off by 44 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 140.1 ±13.3

8588Tech Devils

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 42.84Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1647Iron Devils

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 25.22Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2495Hive Mind

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 19.02Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200 ±11.7

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 17.61Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

56R.O.B.B.E.

Season APEX 107Event APEX 22.52Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5624TIGER TECH Robotics

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 0.97Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8588, 1647, 2495

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8588, 1647, 2495

Auto

17.6 21%

Teleop

45.4 54%

Endgame

20.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9015, 56, 5624

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9015, 56, 5624

Auto

22.0 54%

Teleop

6.3 15%

Endgame

12.7 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87.1pts

Blue projected score41.1pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 46
Score range: 26–102
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 144 vs event baseline 83.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

140.1Season APEX200

17.6Auto22

45.4Teleop6.3

20.9Endgame12.7

5Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	28
teleop	13	52
endgame	8	13
foul	15	0
total	51	93

Result

Final score

51 – 93

Prediction missed · off by 44 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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