Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

61.61 – 27.29

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

92 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 15.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 256.3 ±10.4

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 26.24Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 17.34Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

25Raider Robotix

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 18.03Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 214.3 ±12.2

2191Flux Core

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 13.84Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2180Zero Gravity

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX -4.61Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

293SPIKE

Season APEX 124.2Event APEX 18.06Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1672, 9015, 25

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1672, 9015, 25

Auto

11.8 22%

Teleop

19.2 37%

Endgame

21.5 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2191, 2180, 293

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2191, 2180, 293

Auto

13.0 51%

Teleop

10.9 43%

Endgame

1.4 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61.6pts

Blue projected score27.3pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 34.3
Score range: 12–77
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 119 vs event baseline 84.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

256.3Season APEX214.3

11.8Auto13

19.2Teleop10.9

21.5Endgame1.4

75Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	20
teleop	53	0
endgame	11	2
foul	0	5
total	92	27

Result

Final score

92 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 15.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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