Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

107.21 – 61.27

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

197 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 48 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 414 ±9.8

7110Heights Bytes

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 16.52Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 89.9Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8075CyberTigers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 0.79Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 190.9 ±12.2

5438Technological Terrors

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 31Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

204Eastern Robotic Vikings

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 6.77Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5684Titans of Tech

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX 23.5Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7110, 1403, 8075

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7110, 1403, 8075

Auto

28.3 25%

Teleop

51.1 45%

Endgame

33.2 29%

Strengths

· 1403 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5438, 204, 5684

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5438, 204, 5684

Auto

11.3 20%

Teleop

33.7 59%

Endgame

12.3 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.65 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score107.2pts

Blue projected score61.3pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.9
Score range: 47–121
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 252 vs event baseline 80.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

414Season APEX190.9

28.3Auto11.3

51.1Teleop33.7

33.2Endgame12.3

61Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	21
teleop	93	16
endgame	56	18
foul	15	0
total	197	55

Result

Final score

197 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 48 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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