Skip to content
Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

90.9950.66

62%38%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

11657

Prediction correct · off by 15.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 216 ±12.2
Season APEX 45.1Event APEX 2.04Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 13.81Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 75.14Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 124.2 ±12.7
Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 7.43Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 16.82Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 32.7Event APEX 26.41Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3340, 2191, 1923
60
/ 100 compat
Projected
91 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3340, 2191, 1923
Auto
21.8 25%
Teleop
62.2 71%
Endgame
3.7 4%
Strengths
  • · 1923 anchors offense
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5624, 4573, 4653
44
/ 100 compat
Projected
50.7 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5624, 4573, 4653
Auto
21.1 38%
Teleop
25.0 45%
Endgame
9.5 17%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.58 · Blue 0.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score91pts
Blue projected score50.7pts
Red win probability62%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 13%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
40.3
Score range
37105
Upset likelihood
38%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 173 vs event baseline 79.9.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

216Season APEX124.2
21.8Auto21.1
62.2Teleop25
3.7Endgame9.5
41Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3124
teleop5317
endgame3216
foul00
total11657

Result

Final score

11657

Prediction correct · off by 15.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.