Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

178.41 – 20.49

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

199 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 19.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 574.4 ±9.3

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 85.88Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 23.01Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2590Nemesis

Season APEX 231.6Event APEX 69.52Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 110.4 ±12.8

204Eastern Robotic Vikings

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 7.37Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7110Heights Bytes

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 14.34Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2180Zero Gravity

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX -1.22Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1403, 1672, 2590

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1403, 1672, 2590

Auto

19.7 12%

Teleop

111.2 66%

Endgame

38.2 23%

Strengths

· 1403 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 204, 7110, 2180

/ 100 compat

Projected

20.5 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 204, 7110, 2180

Auto

9.1 41%

Teleop

1.6 7%

Endgame

11.6 52%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score178.4pts

Blue projected score20.5pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 157.9
Score range: 6–192
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 237 vs event baseline 78.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

574.4Season APEX110.4

19.7Auto9.1

111.2Teleop1.6

38.2Endgame11.6

200Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	20
teleop	110	13
endgame	57	5
foul	0	0
total	199	38

Result

Final score

199 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 19.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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