Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

89.13 – 69.3

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

163 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 301.8 ±11

5438Technological Terrors

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 24.37Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 66.22Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4573Rambotics

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX -1.46Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177.7 ±12.2

6897Astraea Robotics

Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 10.09Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2495Hive Mind

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 17.35Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

486Positronic Panthers

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 41.86Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5438, 1923, 4573

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5438, 1923, 4573

Auto

28.6 32%

Teleop

49.2 54%

Endgame

12.7 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6897, 2495, 486

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6897, 2495, 486

Auto

17.5 27%

Teleop

21.2 33%

Endgame

26.5 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score89.1pts

Blue projected score69.3pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 19.8
Score range: 55–103
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 222 vs event baseline 76.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

301.8Season APEX177.7

28.6Auto17.5

49.2Teleop21.2

12.7Endgame26.5

165Consistency131

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	8
teleop	87	36
endgame	42	15
foul	0	0
total	163	59

Result

Final score

163 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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