Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

82.33 – 64.16

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

60 – 13

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 232.2 ±11.7

486Positronic Panthers

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 29Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

204Eastern Robotic Vikings

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 17.28Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

25Raider Robotix

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 36.05Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 172.3 ±12.7

2191Flux Core

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 13.31Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5624TIGER TECH Robotics

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 21.3Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9100Robo Roses

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 29.55Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 486, 204, 25

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 486, 204, 25

Auto

18.7 23%

Teleop

32.1 40%

Endgame

29.8 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2191, 5624, 9100

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2191, 5624, 9100

Auto

12.3 34%

Teleop

12.6 34%

Endgame

11.8 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score82.3pts

Blue projected score64.2pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18.2
Score range: 46–100
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 73 vs event baseline 99.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

232.2Season APEX172.3

18.7Auto12.3

32.1Teleop12.6

29.8Endgame11.8

35Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	6
teleop	20	5
endgame	27	2
foul	5	0
total	60	13

Result

Final score

60 – 13

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.