Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

145.09 – 49.89

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

139 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 4.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 345.5 ±11.1

2495Hive Mind

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 26.07Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 76.99Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5684Titans of Tech

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX 42.03Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277.3 ±12.2

6897Astraea Robotics

Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 8.02Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4573Rambotics

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 5.4Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

303The T.E.S.T. Team

Season APEX 178.5Event APEX 36.47Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2495, 1403, 5684

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2495, 1403, 5684

Auto

19.2 13%

Teleop

88.2 60%

Endgame

38.7 26%

Strengths

· 1403 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6897, 4573, 303

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6897, 4573, 303

Auto

24.1 45%

Teleop

24.2 45%

Endgame

5.0 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score145.1pts

Blue projected score49.9pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.2
Score range: 36–159
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 192 vs event baseline 76.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

345.5Season APEX277.3

19.2Auto24.1

88.2Teleop24.2

38.7Endgame5

121Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	36
teleop	72	14
endgame	35	3
foul	0	0
total	139	53

Result

Final score

139 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 4.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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