Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

49.22 – 0

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

68 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 35.4 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 135 ±11

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 11.46Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5684Titans of Tech

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX 35.61Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7110Heights Bytes

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 2.15Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 116.2 ±13.3

752Chargers

Season APEX 26.9Event APEX -13.71Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2495Hive Mind

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 15.09Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5624TIGER TECH Robotics

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX -12.97Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9015, 5684, 7110

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9015, 5684, 7110

Auto

11.7 24%

Teleop

19.2 39%

Endgame

18.0 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 752, 2495, 5624

/ 100 compat

Projected

-11.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 752, 2495, 5624

Auto

7.0 0%

Teleop

-11.2 100%

Endgame

-2.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.2pts

Blue projected score-11.6pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 49.2
Score range: -13–62
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 120 vs event baseline 73.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

135Season APEX116.2

11.7Auto7

19.2Teleop-11.2

18Endgame-2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	9
teleop	36	32
endgame	15	11
foul	0	0
total	68	52

Result

Final score

68 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 35.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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