Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
23.6 – 28.88
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
84 – 52
Prediction missed · off by 41.8 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 220.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 9.75Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 1.7Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 12.15Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 27.6Event APEX -2.52Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 19.25Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 12.15Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 87, 8075, 5113
20
/ 100 compatProjected
23.6 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 87, 8075, 5113
Auto
12.4 83%
Teleop
-6.6 0%
Endgame
9.2 61%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 19%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2180, 486, 4573
30
/ 100 compatProjected
28.9 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 2180, 486, 4573
Auto
8.6 31%
Teleop
3.8 14%
Endgame
15.3 55%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 19%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.24
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score23.6pts
Blue projected score28.9pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 19%, blue 16%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -5.3
- Score range
- 11–42
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
220.6Season APEX166.6
12.4Auto8.6
-6.6Teleop3.8
9.2Endgame15.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 21 |
| teleop | 44 | 12 |
| endgame | 15 | 19 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 84 | 52 |
Result
Final score
84 – 52
Prediction missed · off by 41.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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