Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105 – 142.14

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.6 ±11

5113Combustible Lemons

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 45.5Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4573Rambotics

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 24.51Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 34.99Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.6 ±10.4

56R.O.B.B.E.

Season APEX 107Event APEX 37.94Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

293SPIKE

Season APEX 124.2Event APEX 30.8Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 73.4Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5113, 4573, 1672

/ 100 compat

Projected

105 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5113, 4573, 1672

Auto

20.1 20%

Teleop

51.8 51%

Endgame

30.1 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 56, 293, 1923

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 56, 293, 1923

Auto

39.5 27%

Teleop

80.0 55%

Endgame

25.6 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score105pts

Blue projected score142.1pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37.1
Score range: 87–160
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 163 vs event baseline 99.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

197.6Season APEX339.6

20.1Auto39.5

51.8Teleop80

30.1Endgame25.6

60Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	40
teleop	15	60
endgame	19	6
foul	15	0
total	57	106

Result

Final score

57 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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