Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

204.69 – 150.13

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

214 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 455.2 ±9.8

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 101.38Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

486Positronic Panthers

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 29.47Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 73.84Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 342.5 ±9.8

2590Nemesis

Season APEX 231.6Event APEX 80.62Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 35.25Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7110Heights Bytes

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 34.26Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1403, 486, 1923

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1403, 486, 1923

Auto

42.0 20%

Teleop

115.4 56%

Endgame

48.6 24%

Strengths

· 1403 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2590, 9015, 7110

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2590, 9015, 7110

Auto

37.6 25%

Teleop

79.6 54%

Endgame

31.4 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score204.7pts

Blue projected score150.1pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.6
Score range: 132–223
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 409 vs event baseline 97.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

455.2Season APEX342.5

42Auto37.6

115.4Teleop79.6

48.6Endgame31.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	61
teleop	91	83
endgame	54	51
foul	5	0
total	214	195

Result

Final score

214 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 pts

Match videos

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