Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

233.1 – 156.63

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

183 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 27.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 523.9 ±9.9

9116The Canucks & Bolts

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 8.13Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 93.35Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11MORT

Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 131.62Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 353.9 ±10.4

193MORT Beta

Season APEX 150.3Event APEX 89.93Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8075CyberTigers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 10.66Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

222Tigertrons

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 56.04Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9116, 1676, 11

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9116, 1676, 11

Auto

24.7 11%

Teleop

132.6 61%

Endgame

61.2 28%

Strengths

· 11 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 193, 8075, 222

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 193, 8075, 222

Auto

23.9 16%

Teleop

86.0 58%

Endgame

39.2 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score233.1pts

Blue projected score156.6pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 76.5
Score range: 136–254
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 334 vs event baseline 114.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

523.9Season APEX353.9

24.7Auto23.9

132.6Teleop86

61.2Endgame39.2

0Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	7
teleop	124	74
endgame	22	25
foul	10	45
total	183	151

Result

Final score

183 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 27.9 pts

Match videos

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